Proyección optima de la demanda eléctrica de la empresa eléctrica de Cotopaxi

Cristhian Lenin Masaquiza-Vera; Carlos Iván Quinatoa-Caiza; Alex Iván Paguay-Llamuca

Authors

Masaquiza-Vera Cristhian Lenin Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi. El Coca, Ecuador. https://orcid.org/0009-0004-6526-7897
Quinatoa-Caiza Carlos Iván Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi. Latacunga, Ecuador. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6369-7480
Paguay-Llamuca Alex Iván Universidad Técnica de Cotopaxi. Riobamba, Ecuador. https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4166-6067

Keywords:

Electric demand, LEAP, Sustainable efficiency, Projection

Abstract

The article presents an analysis of the projected electricity demand in the province of Cotopaxi, utilizing the LEAP model to conduct a detailed projection of energy demand for the period 2022-2050. The research addresses the need to anticipate infrastructure requirements and assess the impact of energy efficiency policies. It is projected that electricity demand will increase from 381,657 PJ in 2022 to 692,754 PJ in 2050, reflecting an annual growth rate of 2%. Although rural demand currently predominates, a significant increase in urban demand is anticipated, rising from 23.1% in 2022 to 26.8% in 2050. These findings are crucial for sustainable energy planning, emphasizing the need to improve existing infrastructure and adopt energy efficiency measures to manage demand growth and reduce environmental impact. The results provide a solid foundation for the formulation of strategic energy policies in the region, ensuring an efficient and sustainable energy supply in the long term.

Keywords: Electric demand, LEAP, Sustainable efficiency, Projection.

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